Diamond Market Liquidity is impacted by recent actions and decisions of Indian Government.

Indian Reserve Bank orders all foreign currency holders to ‎convert 50% of their balances to rupee in reckless attempt to control plunging rupee. ‎Recent irresponsible government actions include retroactive taxation and penalties, ‎import taxes on gold and diamonds and on/off excise taxes. Out of control Indian ‎government now posing serious threat to diamond market liquidity. Petra Diamonds 3Q ‎revenue +87% to $98M, production +126% to 622,509 cts. Blue Nile 1Q revenue +4% to ‎‎$83M, net income -94% to $154K. U.S. 1Q polished imports -7% to $4.8B. Hong Kong’s ‎‎1Q polished imports +9% to $4.3B. Belgium’s April polished exports -7% to $943M, rough ‎imports +20% to $1B.‎


Global Markets

United States: There is mixed sentiment in the wholesale market as trading has slowed ‎slightly in the past few weeks. Still, trading is taking place with many overseas buyers ‎looking for goods. Wholesalers who stocked up on inventory during the past few months ‎are in better shape than companies who need to source goods currently as scarcities are ‎prevalent. While retailers are engaged in Mother’s Day promotions, bridal continues to ‎dominate sales. ‎

Belgium: Trading has been relatively quiet with political and economic uncertainty in ‎Europe influencing the mood among buyers. There is demand for goods, particularly for ‎‎1.00-carat and 1.50-carat, commercial quality diamonds. Suppliers have noted a ‎shortage of SI clarity stones. Rough trading is cautious following last week’s Diamond ‎Trading Company (DTC) sight as manufacturing profit margins remain tight. ‎

India: Polished trading is restrained due to the ongoing summer vacation and continued ‎volatility in the rupee-dollar exchange rate. Domestic buyers continue to experience tight ‎liquidity, while very few overseas buyers are seen in the market. Overall demand is ‎weak, particularly for lower piqué goods. The local gems and jewelry industry is relieved ‎with the government’s cancellation of the excise duty on jewelry, but consumer demand ‎is not expected to pick up significantly in May since it is generally not a busy month for ‎weddings. Local rough trading continues to be weak. There is sufficient rough supply but ‎manufacturing levels continue at levels below capacity. Select trading is observed in ‎rough goods which yields polished of I color and lower.‎

Israel: Polished trading continues to be affected by the money laundering investigations ‎that allegedly took place in the bourse during the past three months. Dealers are cautious ‎about who they do business with. Still, there is activity and good demand for 1.00-carat, ‎‎1.50-carat and 2.00-carat stones with G-H color and VS-SI clarity. Some have noted that ‎it is not easy to fill requests due to shortages in the market. Dealers are focused on ‎preparing for the JCK Las Vegas show hoping that steady U.S. demand will boost trading ‎in the second half of the year. ‎

China: The wholesale market is stable but dealers remain cautious mainly due to the ‎weakened economic outlook. There has been some slowdown in activity since the May ‎Day weekend as many trading partners in India are on vacation and many retail buyers ‎still have inventory remaining from the holiday. Buyers are increasingly price sensitive. ‎There is steady demand for 1.00-carat, G-H, SI1 certified polished diamonds. ‎

Hong Kong: Wholesale trading has slowed in the past month due to a weaker outlook for ‎the Chinese economy. Suppliers are trying to push prices higher but they are meeting ‎resistance from buyers, particularly on round diamonds. There is continued strong ‎demand for fancy shape stones and well cut fancy shapes sell relatively easily. Local ‎retail sales are also relatively slow. ‎

-Diamonds.net

India and China Boosting 2011 Diamond Market

Over the past week commodity prices took a dive and the future of some remains hazy. The diamond market has been impressively strong, and as the mid-year mark approaches, predictions are that 2011 will conclude with the same accolades. At worst, diamond prices are expected to remain firm, but some predictions have prices rising due largely to growing demands in India and China.

India and China

The people of India and China are earning the title of diamond consumers. These two countries have seen market growth of about 25 percent and they contributed 20 percent to the global demand over the past year, according to Crisil, a credit rating company.

Both polished and rough diamonds are moving well in these countries. And, this is happening despite price increases.

The closing of Diamdel’s three week auction on May 3 provides indication of the positive market conditions. Prices were up by double digits in some cases, and of the 218 lots made available, all of them sold.

“Consistent demand from Indian based buyers saw them gain a greater share of sales and record demand from Asia Pacific translated into record spot sales to buyers in Hong Kong and mainland China,” CEO Neil Ventura commented after the event.

Polished diamonds

Polished diamonds are feeding growing jewelery demands. In China, diamond jewelry markets grew by 25 percent, while growth in India’s jewelery demand was 31 percent in 2010, according to Varda Shine CEO of Diamond Trading Company (DTC).

But the jewelry demand is not all about being glamorous, at least not in India. Natives of India are well-known for being jewelry investors. Traditionally, their investments have been primarily in gold.

During a tour of the country to assess the diamond market, Shine said “a visible shift is seen in consumers’ perception in the last couple of years, of growing confidence with certification and buy-back guarantees. Inherent gold consumers in India have gradually started diversifying a part of their investment to the diamond jewelery segment.”

Rough diamond supply

There are reports that some rough diamonds have increased in value by up to 300 percent over the past two years. Shine said she is not sure of 300 percent but rough diamond prices, which move in line with polished diamonds, have certainly gone up. She also added that in the future prices will continue going up on reduced supply.

India and China have not been immune to the supply crunch, which is blamed on several factors. To begin with, in response to the economic crisis in 2008, major diamond miners cut their output due to the drop in demand. But, the recovery for the diamond market came faster than expected, straining the market and pushing prices up.

Excessive demand is corrected by increased supply. Mining majors, such as De Beers, are planning to boost production, but that is not an overnight process. There is also some anticipation about the price relieving effects of Zimbabwe’s return to the market.

Meanwhile, extra pressure is being applied to the rough diamond market because supply problems with polished stones has led cutters and polishers to buy rough diamonds, notes Nico Kruger, CEO of Namakwa Diamonds (LON:NAD).

The increasing demands of India and China are expected to result in price hikes of another 20 percent this year, according to Shivom Seth at Mineweb.

If supply does increase to match demand, predictions have prices stabilizing. Either way, there is little indication at this point that diamond prices will tumble before the end of the year.

Petra Diamonds (LON:PDL) says the positive fundamentals of the market provide a compelling case for investment.

-Diamond Investing News